I like to play a thought experiment game with myself and others. Thinking back to when I was a kid (PCs weren’t a thing) and now (PCs are ubiquitous) I wonder how P’s experience will already differ from mine and where there will be things he won’t relate to. <INSERT OLD GUY TALK> In my day…

The Self Driving Car: P won’t have a driver’s license unless he wants to have a hobby driving a car. I think by the time P is old enough for a license, it’s much more likely that he will be part of a subscription car sharing service. Or at least he’ll just be telling the family car where to take him and what time to pick him up. He will probably get a license when he’s older in case self driving cars haven’t fully penetrated the world. There may also be the case that riders of self driving cars may still need a new type of license designating the ability to take a self driving car by oneself.
The Automated Home: P will be used to talking to the house to have it do stuff.
I don’t think he’ll get the experience of always having a smart home (sorry P it’s expensive to get all those parts). He’ll probably still remember the dumb home, but my guess is at some point the cost of building these things into new homes will go down. It’s very likely he’ll have friends that have very smart homes and it’ll be the norm to talk to your home asking it random stuff (and also to have it play music, buy stuff, and tell jokes).
Shopping for groceries: P’s groceries will be delivered via robot courrier
This is more of a stretch, but heck this is my thought experiment and we do see robot food delivery beta testing out in Palo Alto. Groceries may not be that far behind. It may even by via…
Drones will be a thing: P will think drones are normal
Drones are still figuring out their niche, but I believe there’s enough momentum and benefit that it’ll be a norm somewhere. Whether it’s at the airport, surveying natural disasters, following a news anchor with a cam the industry will find its home.
E-Sports will be a thing: P will have just as many e-sports to follow as normal sports
Can’t say I’m unbiased. I’m super excited that e-sports has risen to a place of relative respectability in the sports world. I think there’s a chance that this will continue to grow and sprout out new teams and games.
Tablets will be more ubiquitous than laptops: P will want to swipe and touch all the screens
I’m not entirely sure, but I feel like tablets are on the rise. The older and younger demographic seems to be latching on to tablets (and smart phones) as the devices of choice. They offer fairly intuitive interfaces and many apps cover all the basic needs of this population. Laptops will still be used for working folks, but I wouldn’t be surprised if for most families tablets are used at home (except for the enthusiasts that want the flexibility that laptops provide). This idea is definitely open to debate.
Focus will be a skill that needs to be cultivated: P’s generation will be ADD and FOMO about everything
P is going to be growing up in a society that’s more “connected” and “on” than ever. Given that reality, I think it’s going to be hard for folks to disconnect. I believe his generation’s soft skill of choice to cultivate will be “Focus” akin to our generation’s skill of “Grit” I hope it doesn’t get to that point, but I believe the research is still so early no official recommendations will go out until much later.
College isn’t guaranteed: Fewer kids will decide that college is the best route for them.
With the cost of college growing I’m not sure what sort of financial burden going to college will place on P’s generation. I’ve personally started preparing for that via a 529, which I’ve written about. But who knows if that will even be enough to cover the growing costs. You can bet folks will be doing a cost benefit analysis given how the Millennials are feeling about college nowadays. That said, a lot can change between now and then, but policy moves slow.
Ok that’s enough for one sitting. Perhaps follow-up posts will follow as I discuss this with more folks. As always I’m open to hearing what others think…after all
